We're About to Test Whether Track Records Actually Matter — And We're Showing You the Test First

For three seasons, we've graded start/sit calls from fantasy football podcasts against what actually happened — over 40,000 verified calls across 22 shows.

Now the big question: if a show was accurate last season, does that tell you anything about this season?

If yes — track records are real, and following the historically-accurate shows is an edge. If no — every season reshuffles the deck, and last year's rankings can't help you. Either answer changes how you should use advice. We genuinely don't know which one the data holds.

So before we run the numbers, here's the test, locked in public:

We have 12 shows with enough graded calls in both 2024 and 2025 (at least 100 verified calls each season). We'll check three things:

1. Did the accurate shows stay accurate? (Do 2024's rankings predict 2025's?)
2. Did the top half stay top half — and the bottom half stay bottom?
3. The one that matters most: do the least accurate shows stay inaccurate? Because "know who to tune out" is the easiest edge there is.

And because our data shows the real skill in this industry is in the sit calls — telling you who to bench, not who to start — we'll run every test on sit accuracy separately.

The rules: we publish the results no matter what they say. If track records turn out not to persist, you'll read that here, at full volume. Twelve shows is a modest sample and we'll say so honestly — this is the first study of its kind, and it gets bigger every season.

The results drop in the coming weeks. The test you just read can't change between now and then. That's the point.