Independent sports evidence desk

Sports advice.
Checked against
the record.

We find the public call, keep the market context, then come back for the outcome. No tips. No sportsbook money. Just a cleaner way to check what was said.

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FIELD NOTE 01 One show so far: Play Me or Fade Me, NFL Weeks 1-7, graded from its public episodes every Tuesday.

01 / THE CHECK

The callWhat the host said in public

The marketA historical reference, not a promise

The outcomeWhat happened, with the receipt

A call can win and still be a worse price.

A sample, not a claim

One public show. 7 NFL weeks. Every number has a basis.

80graded PMOFM
NFL picks

43-36-1host-stated
win / loss / push

26 of 76beat the
close

Below the 100-pick rating threshold. No rank or skill claim. Beat the close counts spreads and totals against Pinnacle's closing line.

One call, more than one fair comparison

“What was said?”
is not the same as
“What was available?”

We keep the host's stated line separate from the market a listener could get when the episode posted. The difference is the point, not a footnote.

Read the methodology in context →

PMOFM · NFL WEEKS 1-7 Historical model

At host-stated lines+$54.3243-36-1

At the market when the episode posted+$21.5641-36-3

At Pinnacle's close+$8.7740-38-2

$20 flat stake · $1,600 modeled stake · -110 where no odds were statedHistorical scenarios · not verified wagers

See why one specific call matters

Evidence behind the public record

A won call can still
lose the price check.

On one Colts/Vikings under, Chad said 42.5. A listener could get 41.5 when the episode posted, and it closed at 42.5. The game finished IND 10, MIN 16. The call won; measured from the line a listener could get, its CLV was -1.0 point.

Receipt · Chad · NFL Week 7✓ Win

Colts/Vikings Under 42.5 Colts at Vikings

“I'm gonna go Colts and your Vikings action under 42 and a half”NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 7 Best Bets w/special guest FatDaddy14

Host said: 42.5
Market at call: 41.5
Pinnacle close: 42.5
Final: IND 10, MIN 16

CLV -1.0 worse than close · Modeled at -110Full receipt, with the audio →

The other half of the desk

Fantasy advice,
checked too.

One place for the public calls that can be verified, whether they're lineup advice or a betting-market reference.

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Verified fantasy sample

49,853verified calls

22publishers rated

TOP OF THE ALL-TIME BOARDThe Ringer Fantasy Football Show509 calls

The independence rule

The record isn't for sale.

ScoutRank is independent. There are no sportsbook affiliate links or sportsbook payments. A show can't pay to be included, removed, or featured.

See what the sample can and can't say →

Sports advice.Checked againstthe record.

“What was said?”is not the same as“What was available?”