NFL 2026, Weeks 1-7 · 80 graded picks · Hosts: Action, Chad
Evidence is thin.Under 100 graded picks: counts only, no rank, no percentages.
$20 on each of 80 picks: +$54 at the hosts' lines, +$22 at the market when the episode posted, +$9 at Pinnacle's close. Modeled, not verified wagers; the hosts' lines are modeled at -110 where no odds were said.
“Taking the Raiders plus four and a half at home versus the Rams”Said Wed, Oct 21, 9:45 PM ET
| Host | Pick | Stated | Market at call | Close | Result | CLV | Receipt |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Not attributed | Seahawks -2.5 vs ChiefsBest bet | -2.5 | -2.5 | -3 | Win | +0.5 beat | View → |
| Chad | Bears -2.5 vs Patriots | -2.5 | -3 | -3 | Win | 0.0 at close | View → |
| Action | Titans +1.5 vs Browns | +1.5 | +1.5 | +1.5 | Loss | 0.0 at close | View → |
| Chad | Colts/Vikings Under 42.5 Colts at Vikings | 42.5 | 41.5 | 42.5 | Win | -1.0 worse | View → |
| Action | Buccaneers +3.5 at Panthers | +3.5 | +3 | +3 | Win | 0.0 at close | View → |
| Action | Rams -4 at Raiders | -4 | -4 | -3.5 | Win | -0.5 worse | View → |
| Action | Cardinals +4.5 vs Broncos | +4.5 | +4 | +4.5 | Loss | -0.5 worse | View → |
| Chad | Raiders +4.5 vs RamsBest bet | +4.5 | +4 | +3.5 | Loss | +0.5 beat | View → |
| Not attributed | Bears -3 vs Patriots | -3 | -3 | -3 | Win | 0.0 at close | View → |
| Not attributed | Seahawks -3 vs ChiefsBest bet | -3 | -3 | -3 | Win | 0.0 at close | View → |
| Not attributed | Rams -3 at Raiders | -3 | -3 | -3.5 | Win | +0.5 beat | View → |
Units +2.60u Modeled at -110
Units -5.28u Modeled at -110
Units +7.21u Modeled at -110
20 picks are not attributed: nothing in the audio or the show's notes says which host made them, and we do not guess.
Units +1.22u Modeled at -110
Under 20 picks: counts only.
Under 20 picks: counts only.
The show's own record. Its Confidence Cup notes say Action 15-15, Chad 12-18 through Week 6, 27-33 combined. At the show's own lines we grade the 53 Confidence Cup picks we found 25-28. The totals differ where our extraction missed a pick or could not verify its quote.
Each pick settles at the number the host said, at the odds they said, or modeled at -110 when they gave none. Closing-line value is measured from the market consensus when the episode posted, against Pinnacle's last price before kickoff, de-vigged. Spreads and totals report CLV in points; moneylines report price CLV. Leans are not graded. Picks are held when the team or game is ambiguous. Full rulebook →
Free for the show and anyone else. It updates when we grade, links back here, and cannot be paid for or edited.
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