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NFL · spread · Week 7 · Confidence Cup

Cardinals +4.5 vs Broncos

Final DEN 30, ARI 16. The call lost at the host's number. A listener could get +4; it closed at +4.5, so the price check is -0.5 points.

Outcome: lost CLV: -0.5 points
L
Final result
Host line
+4.5
Final
DEN 30, ARI 16
CLV
-0.5 points
Modeled odds
-110

Three line references

Kept separate on purpose
01 · Host-stated
+4.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
+4 (-110)
Consensus of 11 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
+4.5 (-108)
Last price before kickoff, 50.5% de-vigged

What was said

“give me the Arizona Cardinals. I'll pluck my nose plus the four and a half against the Broncos as my one star play of the week”

Action · said Wed, Oct 21, 9:45 PM ET, 10:08 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 7 Best Bets w/special guest FatDaddy14” · kickoff Sun, Oct 25, 4:05 PM ET

Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →

Units: -1.00u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: lost; at the close: lost.