Play Me or Fade Me

NFL 2026, Weeks 4-6 · 4 graded picks · Hosts: Action, Chad

Evidence is thin.Under 100 graded picks: counts only, no rank, no percentages.

nflnba
All marketsSpreadsTotalsMoneylinesAudit
Record · unitsModeled at -110
2-2 W-L
Units: below 20: counts only
Beat the close
0/4
Price CLV above zero
Moneylines
4
De-vigged close vs the price at call

Receipts · Week 6

Graded Tuesday after Monday Night Football.
HostPickStatedMarket at callCloseResultCLVReceipt
ChadPackers ML vs CowboysML-123+104Win-13.3% did not beatView →
ActionSaints ML at Giants+108-110-108Win-3.5% did not beatView →

By host

Cells under 20 picks show counts only

  • Action

    2 picks
    Record
    1-1
    Beat close
    0/0
    CLV pts
    below 20: counts only

    Under 20 picks: counts only.

  • Chad

    1 picks
    Record
    1-0
    Beat close
    0/0
    CLV pts
    below 20: counts only

    Under 20 picks: counts only.

  • Not attributed

    1 picks
    Record
    0-1
    Beat close
    0/0
    CLV pts
    below 20: counts only

    Under 20 picks: counts only.

1 picks are not attributed: nothing in the audio or the show's notes says which host made them, and we do not guess.

By market

  • Spreads

    0 picks

    None graded yet.

  • Totals

    0 picks

    None graded yet.

  • Moneylines

    4 picks
    Record
    2-2
    Beat close
    0/4
    Price CLV
    A percentage: shown at 100+ moneylines

    Under 20 picks: counts only.

What this record leaves out

  • Other sports (college football, MLB, NHL, soccer and more)132
  • Player props35
  • Parlays34
  • Picks from other programmes on the same feed26
  • Quotes we could not find in the transcript19
  • First-half and other partial-game bets17
  • Picks the speaker credited to someone else5
  • Mentions1
  • quote does not support pick1

The show's own record. Its Confidence Cup notes say Action 15-15, Chad 12-18 through Week 6, 27-33 combined. At the show's own lines we grade the 53 Confidence Cup picks we found 25-28. The totals differ where our extraction missed a pick or could not verify its quote.

How this page is graded

Each pick settles at the number the host said, at the odds they said, or modeled at -110 when they gave none. Closing-line value is measured from the market consensus when the episode posted, against Pinnacle's last price before kickoff, de-vigged. Spreads and totals report CLV in points; moneylines report price CLV. Leans are not graded. Picks are held when the team or game is ambiguous. Full rulebook →

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