Play Me or Fade Me

NFL 2026, Weeks 1-7 · 70 graded picks · Hosts: Action, Chad

Evidence is thin.Under 100 graded picks: counts only, no rank, no percentages.

Record · unitsModeled at -110
36-33-1 W-L-P
+1.22u at the hosts' lines, capped at 3u a pick · +3.03u uncapped
Beat the close
25/70
35 at the close · 10 worse
CLV, points
+0.17
Mean, ahead of the market at call

Receipts · Week 7

Graded Tuesday after Monday Night Football.
HostPickStatedMarket at callCloseResultCLVReceipt
Not attributedSeahawks -2.5 vs ChiefsBest bet-2.5-2.5-3Win+0.5 beat
ChadBears -2.5 vs Patriots-2.5-3-3Win0.0 at close
ActionTitans +1.5 vs Browns+1.5+1.5+1.5Loss0.0 at close
ActionBuccaneers +3.5 at Panthers+3.5+3+3Win0.0 at close
ActionRams -4 at Raiders-4-4-3.5Win-0.5 worse
ActionCardinals +4.5 vs Broncos+4.5+4+4.5Loss-0.5 worse
ChadRaiders +4.5 vs RamsBest bet+4.5+4+3.5Loss+0.5 beat
Not attributedBears -3 vs Patriots-3-3-3Win0.0 at close
Not attributedSeahawks -3 vs ChiefsBest bet-3-3-3Win0.0 at close
Not attributedRams -3 at Raiders-3-3-3.5Win+0.5 beat

By host

Cells under 20 picks show counts only
  • Action

    26 picks
    Record
    14-12
    Beat close
    8/26
    CLV pts
    +0.06

    Units +0.70u Modeled at -110

  • Chad

    26 picks
    Record
    10-16
    Beat close
    13/26
    CLV pts
    +0.37

    Units -6.91u Modeled at -110

  • Not attributed

    18 picks
    Record
    12-5-1
    Beat close
    4/18
    CLV pts
    below 20: counts only

    Under 20 picks: counts only.

18 picks are not attributed: nothing in the audio or the show's notes says which host made them, and we do not guess.

By market

  • Spreads

    70 picks
    Record
    36-33-1
    Beat close
    25/70
    CLV pts
    +0.17

    Units +1.22u Modeled at -110

  • Totals

    0 picks

    None graded yet.

  • Moneylines

    0 picks

    None graded yet.

What this record leaves out

  • Other sports (college football, MLB, NHL, soccer and more)132
  • Player props35
  • Parlays34
  • Picks from other programmes on the same feed26
  • Quotes we could not find in the transcript19
  • First-half and other partial-game bets17
  • Picks the speaker credited to someone else5
  • Mentions1
  • quote does not support pick1
  • Held: no game for that team near the call1

The show's own record. Its Confidence Cup notes say Action 15-15, Chad 12-18 through Week 6, 27-33 combined. At the show's own lines we grade the 53 Confidence Cup picks we found 25-28. The totals differ where our extraction missed a pick or could not verify its quote.

How this page is graded

Each pick settles at the number the host said, at the odds they said, or modeled at -110 when they gave none. Closing-line value is measured from the market consensus when the episode posted, against Pinnacle's last price before kickoff, de-vigged. Spreads and totals report CLV in points; moneylines report price CLV. Leans are not graded. Picks are held when the team or game is ambiguous. Full rulebook →

Embed this record

Free for the show and anyone else. It updates when we grade, links back here, and cannot be paid for or edited.

Preview the card →