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NFL · spread · Week 1 · Confidence Cup · Best bet

Bengals -3.5 vs Buccaneers

Final TB 27, CIN 33. The call won at the host's number. A listener could get -3.5; it closed at -4, so the price check is +0.5 points.

Outcome: won CLV: +0.5 points
W
Final result
Host line
-3.5
Final
TB 27, CIN 33
CLV
+0.5 points
Modeled odds
-110

Three line references

Kept separate on purpose
01 · Host-stated
-3.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
-3.5 (-110)
Consensus of 11 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
-4 (+101)
Last price before kickoff, 48.4% de-vigged

What was said

“Cincinnati minus the three and a half against Tampa Bay”

Action · said Wed, Sep 9, 10:34 PM ET, 4:09 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 1 Best Bets” · kickoff Sun, Sep 13, 1:00 PM ET

Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →

Units: +0.91u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: won; at the close: won.