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NFL · spread · Week 3 · Confidence Cup

Seahawks -6.5 at Commanders

Final SEA 31, WAS 33. The call lost at the host's number. A listener could get -7; it closed at -9.5, so the price check is +2.5 points.

Outcome: lost CLV: +2.5 points
L
Final result
Host line
-6.5
Final
SEA 31, WAS 33
CLV
+2.5 points
Modeled odds
-110

Three line references

Kept separate on purpose
01 · Host-stated
-6.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
-7 (-115)
Consensus of 11 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
-9.5 (+109)
Last price before kickoff, 46.6% de-vigged

What was said

“I'm going to take the Seahawks minus six and a half as my second level”

Chad · said Wed, Sep 23, 8:33 PM ET, 8:21 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 3 Best Bets w/Special Guest” · kickoff Sun, Sep 27, 1:00 PM ET

Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →

Units: -1.00u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: lost; at the close: lost.