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NFL · spread · Week 3 · Confidence Cup

Buccaneers +1.5 vs Vikings

Final MIN 23, TB 16. The call lost at the host's number. A listener could get +1.5; it closed at +1, so the price check is +0.5 points.

Outcome: lost CLV: +0.5 points
L
Final result
Host line
+1.5
Final
MIN 23, TB 16
CLV
+0.5 points
Modeled odds
-110

Three line references

Kept separate on purpose
01 · Host-stated
+1.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
+1.5 (-110)
Consensus of 11 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
+1 (-108)
Last price before kickoff, 50.7% de-vigged

What was said

“my fourth star play is actually going to be Bucs plus one and a half”

Chad · said Wed, Sep 23, 8:33 PM ET, 10:36 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 3 Best Bets w/Special Guest” · kickoff Sun, Sep 27, 4:05 PM ET

Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →

Units: -1.00u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: lost; at the close: lost.