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NFL · spread · Week 4 · Confidence Cup

Raiders +4.5 vs Chiefs

Final KC 30, LV 27. The call won at the host's number. The line a listener could get (+4.5) was also the close.

Outcome: won CLV: 0.0 points
W
Final result
Host line
+4.5
Final
KC 30, LV 27
CLV
0.0 points
Modeled odds
-110

Three line references

Kept separate on purpose
01 · Host-stated
+4.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
+4.5 (-108)
Consensus of 10 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
+4.5 (+107)
Last price before kickoff, 47.1% de-vigged

What was said

“my level one confidence play, I'm going to go Raiders plus four and a half”

Chad · said Wed, Sep 30, 9:31 PM ET, 6:03 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 4 Best Bets w/Special Guest” · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 4:25 PM ET

Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →

Units: +0.91u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: won; at the close: won.