NFL · spread · Week 4 · Confidence Cup
Bills -6.5 vs Patriots
Final NE 29, BUF 26. The call lost at the host's number. A listener could get -6.5; it closed at -7, so the price check is +0.5 points.
Outcome: lost CLV: +0.5 points
L
Final result
- Host line
- -6.5
- Final
- NE 29, BUF 26
- CLV
- +0.5 points
- Modeled odds
- -110
Three line references
Kept separate on purpose01 · Host-stated
-6.5
What the host said. No odds were said; modeled at -110.
02 · Market at call
-6.5 (-115)
Consensus of 11 US books when the episode posted
03 · Pinnacle close
-7 (+103)
Last price before kickoff, 48.0% de-vigged
What was said
“My second level confidence pick is going to be the Bills, minus six and a half”
Chad · said Wed, Sep 30, 9:31 PM ET, 8:14 into “NFL Confidence Cup Challenge - Chad & Action Week 4 Best Bets w/Special Guest” · kickoff Sun, Oct 4, 1:00 PM ET
Listen at this moment (the show's own audio) →Units: -1.00u on 1u (no units said; 1 assumed). Result at the market: lost; at the close: lost.